The Black Death, Dalrymple points out,
killed perhaps a third or a half of the population of Europe.
However,
that was nearly 700 years ago. And in any case a disaster can be a lot smaller than that and still be a disaster. We are not trying to get into the Guinness Book of Records.
cannot but alarm us when we see those histograms showing the daily toll of death from the infection (or at least with the infection) in ever steeper ascent.
The Chinese flu histograms
strongly resemble the Burj Khalifa. We forget that exponential growth cannot continue for ever and must reach a peak.
is not going to continue until the whole of humanity is extinct,
though such a consummation is
devoutly to be wished according to some of the more extreme of the pagan ecologists, who believe in the intrinsic value of the earth whether or not there are any self-conscious beings existent to enjoy it.
But so long as a peak for the Wuhan virus has not been reached,
we are free to imagine the worst.
Dalrymple notes that during the Middle Ages, when the cause of epidemics was unknown, other than the justified wrath of God,
there were long processions of self-flagellating penitents through the streets, who no doubt thought that the blood that they drew from themselves and the pain that they suffered would abate the epidemic by causing God to relent. We have a pale version of this even today, with calls to prayer by clerics. I believe a mullah somewhere has claimed that the only way to put an end to the epidemic is jihad, as a result of which the world will convert to Islam, causing God to withdraw the virus from circulation.